
There has been a scientific revolution in the social sciences but so far it has not fully engaged the marketing community. Which is a pity given that its probably costing their organisations, the businesses that pay their salaries, several $billions each year.
Take the issue of loyalty. Is this statement true or false? Does it matter to you and to your organisation if you don’t know the correct answer?
True or False: “Your brand’s most loyal customers (100% loyal or near-100%) are your most valuable customers. They not only buy your brands most often but also act as its vocal and visible champions”
At Mountainview Learning we have the unique perspective of knowing what marketers believe the answer to be. Over the last few years, we have either interviewed or surveyed 805 marketers on this very question from a range of different markets and geographies.
The sample of 805 is significant not only because most academic studies are presented on the basis of one/two hundred subjects, it’s one of the largest surveys of marketers opinions ever undertaken.
So what’s the answer? About 15% of the sample didn’t have a clue (they didn’t have a view) 60% thought that the statement was true and 25% thought that it was false. So, only 25% of the sample gave the correct answer. As for the others if they are focusing on their most loyal, or their 100% loyal customers then their brands might be struggling and now you know why.
But should it be?
Pareto’s Law states that 20% of your customers make up for 80% of your sales. In this case, it would be true that your heaviest 20% of buyers (i.e. the most loyal) would be the most valuable. Phil Kotler and other authors of marketing texts have been extolling the virtues of targeting these loyal buyers through, among others, loyalty programs, fan websites and customer relationship management.
But the data says another story. Ehrenberg Bass data indicates that 100% loyal customers are loyal for one important reason; they are light buyers of the category. If a customer buys the category once then they are 100% loyal to the brand they bought.
Nielsen Brandscan data has shows that the top 20% rarely account for more than 50% of sales. So ‘light’ buyers account for about half of all sales! Looking at Coca-Cola, for instance, TNS data for 2005 shows that half of all Coke buyers buy just one or two cans every year… about 30% of Cola buyers don’t even buy a single can in one year. While they may not purchase very much, their numbers are so significantly large as to contribute a huge degree to sales. As we have said, light buyers account for at least half of sales volume.
So what does this mean for strategy? As most companies seem to think that their most loyal customers are their most valuable, it is likely that they spend their marketing budget chasing these extreme buyers. This is a waste. Studies have shown that loyalty programs generate little or no change in market share.
Marketing “secrets”?
Going back to the figures, only a quarter of senior managers and marketers at market-leading brands knew that their 100% loyal or near 100% loyal buyers were not their most important.
You might be mistaken for thinking that this “secret” is new and privileged information… Actually, the Ehrenberg-Bass Institute has been pointing this out, to anyone who will listen, for about half a century! In 1959, Andrew Ehrenberg found that the purchase frequencies for all brands have a negative binomial distribution (i.e. a very large number of infrequent buyers, and a long “tail” of frequent buyers accounting for less and less volume). Even today, 50 years later, major brands are ignoring these marketing truths and instead wasting their valuable cash chasing rainbows!
The value of loyalty is not the only marketing myth that holds the field, and many businesses, back from progress. If you are operating under the belief that brand differentiation is key to growth, or that people are more motivated by the joy of gain than the fear of loss, then you may stand to benefit from learning this invaluable marketing secrets. Please get in touch to learn about the courses Mountainview have to offer.
For further reading on this and other topics related to marketing science pleae read Professor Byron Sharp’s book, “How Brands Grow”, its available to pre-order from all good book suppliers.